Friday, March 6, 2009

Looking Good (In Comparison)

January unemployment statistics are finally out. (I suspect the short month is partly responsible for the delay -- as well as needing to fill requests from the legislative branch which is in the middle of its 60-day session.) As usual with statistics, how you look at them matters a great deal.

  • New Mexico's rate is 4.7% while the national rate is 7.6%.
Looks pretty good until you see the steadily increasing local numbers:
  • In January of '08, our rate was 3.8%.
Far more damaging, however, is the rate of job growth. Over the past year we are at a (1.0%). That is the first year of negative growth since 1991 -- more than 17 years ago.

The Albuquerque/Rio Rancho area unemployment data mirrors the state:
  • January '09 rate is 5.5%
  • January '08 was 3.7%
  • Job growth was (0.9%). That is the fourth month in a row of year-to-year negative numbers and the rate of decline has been accelerating.

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